Bad Beat Odds

Posted by CarbonPoker on 13th August 2008

Just a quick little post on the ever increasing Bad Beat jackpot. Carbon Poker’s quad 7′s or better requirements is one of the lowest in the industry and is currently its sitting just over the $250,000 mark. As the jackpot climbs, the listed Bad Beat tables see more and more action, which means more and more chance of a payout. A bit of trivia – 624 in 2,598,960 or 1 in every 4165 hands are the odds of pulling four of a kind in a hand of Holdem. However for a Bad Beat you must have quad 7′s or better. So the odds thin out a little, to 1:10829. Now for your hand to be badly beaten, someone else must have quad 8′s or better, so the chances are whittled down a tad more along with my ability to calculate such figures without the aid of a supercomputer or ridiculous amounts of caffeine.

However some interesting poker stats and odds that I did manage to find out while looking into Bad Beats -
  • If you have 3 of a kind, you have a 4% chance of turning that set into four of a kind.
  • You also have a 10% chance of turning that set into a full house, given that the turn and river are still to fall.
  • Two pair has a 8% chance of turning into a full house with only the river to come.
  • When chasing a flush, if your holding four of a suit you have a 19% chance of completing your hand.
Best of luck at losing bad.
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